Imitation of Life

A journal about film, music, literature and any other form of imitation of life. Seeing through a glass darkly…

2010 EMMY PREDICTIONS

As I start to write this post we are, according to the Emmys official website, exactly 22 hours and 8 minutes away from the beginning of the 62nd Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, which will take place at the Nokia Theather, LA, hosted by Jimmy Fallon, and which will air on NBC.

The freehearted and unsparing Academy of Television Arts and Sciences gives out accolades to categories such as “Best Make-up for a Single-Camera Series, Movie, Mini or Special (Non-Prosthetic)”, therefore I’d rather concentrate on the main categories in this analysis. Besides, this is television, so I expect (and hope) everything to be prosthetic tomorrow night.

In the drama section, the big prize seems now to be a showdown between Mad Men and Lost, with a long shot for a possible Dexter surprise. Mad Men is undoubtedly the better one, and I think that should be enough to earn them a third consecutive Emmy as Best Drama Series. The Lost Finale, however, generated more excitement and anticipation than anything else in recent television history, and many believe it will win since this is the last opportunity the Academy has to recognise the merits of a series that, you like it or not (and I don’t), has been of paramount importance for the blooming of modern television fiction.

I still believe, though, that Mad Men, arguably (together with The Sopranos) the best series in American television history, will win and they’ll compensate Lost with a writing, or more likely a directing award, for the final episode and an acting trophy (for Terry O’Quinn).

In the comedy categories, everyone out there is predicting Glee‘s victory. It has, admittedly, all the buzz on its side and I personally admire some of its virtues, specially when it slides into parody territory, but I think that hilarious twist on the classical sitcom called Modern Family will walk away as Best Comedy of the year for a simple reason everybody seems to be ignoring: it’s better.

Glee will probably receive the writing and directing awards for its brilliant pilot episode and a couple of acting trophies (for its supporting and guest cast), but it will have to prove it is more than a one-season-wonder to get the big prize some other year.

Nothing is foreseeable in the Emmys by definition, but even less this year with the changes introduced in the voting procedures.

The nominated actors, for instance, have to submit one single episode on the basis of which winners will be selected. Voters will obviously have in mind the complete work of the performers, but the choice of an episode with the right amount of dramatic or comic content (or simply of screen time) will be pivotal to the chances of a nominee in a given category. Thus, foe example, the new rules highly increase the chances of Kyra Sedgwick to win her first Emmy for The Closer (you can see the Maternal Instincts episode  on YouTube), as she displays on that instalment a much wider spectrum of acting skills than on your average The Closer episode.

Only one thing seems clear now. Betty White, the only survivor of The Golden Girls, will go home with an Emmy as Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series. Her role in The Proposal, the SAG Award, the Facebook campaign and her subsequent ratings-blowing appearance on Saturday Night Live (for which she is nominated, see video below) and even the recent successive death of her former Golden Girls co-stars Getty, Arthur and McClanahan have all placed her in the centre of a phenomenal comeback that will reach its climax with this deserved Emmy win. If she doesn’t get it I promise to review all the Golden Girls episodes available in YouTube.

Here are my predictions:

BEST DRAMA SERIES

Will win: Mad Men

Possible upset: Lost

BEST COMEDY SERIES

Will win: Modern Family

Possible upset: Glee

BEST DRAMA ACTOR

Will win: Michael C. Hall in Dexter (he’s won everything this year)

Possible upset: Bryan Craston in Breakin Bad

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS

Will win: Julianna Margulies in The Good Wife (she’s simply brilliant)

Possible Upset: Kyra Sedgwick in The Closer (More than Glen Close,  altough actually I’d love Mad Men’s January Jone’s subtle work to be recognised)

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: Terry O’Quinn in Lost (the darling of the audience in the final year, he’ll make it)

Possible upset: John Slattery in Mad Men

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Christina Hendricks in Mad Men (Ok, this is a wish choice, I love her work and the way she walks)

Possible upset: Christine Baranski in The Good Wife

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR

Will win:  John Lithgow in Dexter (based on previous wins)

Possible upset: Ted Danson in Damages

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS

Will win: Lily Tomlin in Damages

Possible upset: Mary Kay Place in Big Love

DRAMA DIRECTING

Will win: Lost (for the Finale, and everybody happy)

Possible upset: Mad Men

DRAMA WRITING

Will win: Mad Men (for one of two episoded they’re nominated for)

Possible upset: Lost (for the Finale)

BEST COMEDY ACTOR

Will win: Tony Shalhoub in Monk

Possible upset: Jim Parsons in Big Bang Theory

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS

Will win: Edie Falco (Carmela Soprano gone funny, she has it! Plus she’s good in it)

Possible upset: Amy Poehler (I’m going for a big upset over Tina Fey or Toni Colette, but I still think Falco has it)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: Eric Stonestreet in Modern Family

Possible upset: Chris Colfer in Glee (if the three Modern Family nominees candel themselves out, plus he chose a very good showcase episode for the official submission)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Jane Lynch in Glee (this is a lock, and deservedly so, she’s the best thing about Glee)

Possible upset: Jane Krakowski in 30 Rock (but a veeeery long shot)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR

Will win: Neil Patrick Harris in Glee (since he’ll probably lose again in the supporting category, they’ll give him the award for his great guest performance in Glee)

Possible upset: Elli Wallach in Nurse Jackie (now that he’s an Honorary Oscar recipient, why not?)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS

Will win: Betty White in Saturday Night Live (probably the easiest prediction)

Possible upset: Kristin Chenoweth in Glee (she was great and perfectly cast in Glee, so she’s the only one with a remote chance of an upset, since Tina Fey’s Sara Palin is already history, in the good and bad sense)

BEST COMEDY DIRECTING

Will win: Glee (I guess they’lll think directing a comedy-musical for TV is harder)

Possible upset: Modern Family

BEST COMEDY WRITING

Will win: Modern Family (it’s smarter than Glee)

Possible upset: Glee (it’s technically very well written, but too soft at times in the dialogues)

TV MOVIE

Will win: Temple Grandin (I haven’t seen any of them, but it has the buzz)

Possible upset: You don’t know Jack (the other talked about TV movie of the year)

TV MINISERIES

Will win: The Pacific (with that production team…)

Possible upset: Return to Cranford (hmmm, difficult upset choice, since there are only two nominees :-))

TV MOVIE ACTOR

Will win: Al Pacino in You don’t know Jack

Possible upset: Ian McKellen in The Prisoner

TV MOVIE ACTRESS

Will win: Claire Danes in Temple Grandin

Possible upset: Hope Davis in The Special Relationship (I just feel she might pull it off over the English dames)

TV MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: David Straithairn in Temple Grandin (because he is such a fine actor that has basically won nothing in his life)

Possible upset: Patrick Stewart in Hamlet

TV MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Catherine O’hara in Temple Grandin(she might be the best unknown actress working today, I love her and I hope she gets it, although Susan Sarandon hasn’t won anything as of late)

Possible upset: Susan Sarandon in You don’t know Jack (I hope if O’hara doesnt make it, it’s Brenda Vaccaro in You don’t know Jack for the good old Midnight Cowboy times)

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Filed under: To listen/Concerts,

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