Imitation of Life

A journal about film, music, literature and any other form of imitation of life. Seeing through a glass darkly…

2011 Spirit Awards Nominations Predictions

The film award season will officially kick off on Tuesday, November 30, with the announcement of the 2011 Film Independent Spirit Awards.
Since they are the first awards to be announced, the Spirit Awards are hard to predict, not least because the nominated films are chosen from submissions which are not publicly available. If a production company does not submit a film, it cannot be elegible.

The Rules of Elegibility of the Spirit Awards establish that any submitted film must be at least 70 minutes long and that the cost of the completed film, including post, must be less than $20 million. Except for the category of Best Foreign Film, all nominations go to American productions. Unlike in most of the other film awards, the British go foreign in the Spirits.
There is a special category, the John Cassavetes Award, for films with budgets under $500,000.
The influence of the Spirit Awards on the rest of season is relative. Past winners and nominees, however, have gone on to score high with the critics and the Oscars. Among them, last year’s winner Precious and its stars Gabourey Sibide and Mo’Nique; Melissa Leo (Frozen River), Richard Jenkins (The Visitor), Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona), Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married), Sean Penn (Milk) or Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker).
The 2011 Spirit Awards Nominations will be announced by Eva Mendes and Jeremy Renner on Tuesday, November 30, at 8:00 AM PT/11:00 AM ET. The 26th Film Independent Spirit Awards ceremony will be held in Santa Monica on Saturday, February 26, on the eve of the Oscars.
Here are my 2011 Spirit Award Nominations Predictions. I might well get all wrong, but that’s the fun of predicting awards. I’m specially clueless in the Foreign Film category, where there is no way to know which films may have been submitted for consideration.

BEST PICTURE

127 Hours

Black Swan

Blue Valentine

The Kids Are All Right

Winter’s Bone

BEST DIRECTOR

Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan

Danny Boyle, 127 Hours

Coen Brothers, True Grit

Debra Granik, Winter’s Bone

Eric Mendelson, 3 Backyards

LEADING ACTOR

Robert Duvall in Get Low

Aaron Eckhart in Rabbit Hole

James Franco in 127 Hours

Ryan Gosling in Blue Valentine

John C. Reilly in Cyrus

LEADING ACTRESS

Annette Bening in The Kids Are All Right

Nicole Kidman in Rabbit Hole

Jennifer Lawrence in Winter’s Bone

Natalie Portman in Black Swan

Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christian Bale in The Fighter

John Hawkes in Winter’s Bone

Bill Murray in Get Low

Sam Rockell in Conviction

Mark Ruffalo in The Kids Are All Right

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Barbara Hershey in Black Swan

Melissa Leo in The Fighter

Kirsten Stewart in Welcome to the Rileys

Mia Wasikowska in The Kids Are All Right

Diane Wiest in Rabbit Hole

BEST SCREENPLAY

Blue Valentine, D. Cianfrance, J. Curtis & C. Delavigne

The Kids Are All Right, L. Cholodenko & S. Blumberg

Please Give, Nicole Holofcener

True Grit, Coen Brothers

Winter’s Bone, D. Garnik & A. Rosellini

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Animal Kingdom (Australia)

Another Year (UK)

Biutiful (Mexico)

The King’s Speech (UK)

Of Gods and Men (France)

BEST FIRST FEATURE

Four Lions

Get Low

Happythankyoumoreplease

Jack Goes Boating

Welcome to the Rileys

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